Romania's economic growth in 2026 is cautiously forecast at 1%, and a decrease in inflation is expected in the third quarter, Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare said on Monday evening.
"From the data we have, economic growth is cautiously assessed at 1%, with almost EUR 20 billion in various European funds, 10 billion under the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR), 5 billion cohesion, 5 billion subsidies for agriculture. It is a very important amount. I believe that this money will also be seen in economic growth, as we progress in the year," the minister told Antena 3 private broadcaster.
As for the developments in inflation, Nazare said that starting with July-August we will see a decrease, and in December it will reach "towards 4%".
"I think that in the third quarter, starting with July-August, we will start to see a decrease in inflation, and it will go to the reference interval somewhere in December, that is, towards 4%. So, starting with June-July, we will see these effects."
In his opinion, joining the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) will bring a decrease in interest rates and more investments.
"Joining the OECD, if it happens this year - and I have great confidence that it can happen this year - it will also bring a decrease in interest rates and more investments. All these projects that will be budgeted - the pressure will be very high, because we will have to absorb all this money this year - will be seen in the economy. All the additional measures that we are considering, including this economic recovery plan on which we have been working for some time - a team made up of all parties and it is the merit of all the technicians and all the parties for the fact that this programme is slowly getting in motion... It is an important programme, with a very high diversification in terms of state aid schemes used for both small and large entrepreneurs, both for small projects and for strategic projects that we want Romania to attract," Nazare said.
The minister also mentioned major tax changes that will be made and that will help entrepreneurs, including the resumption of the 3% bonuses for both companies and PFAs.
"So, all these measures are under discussion, we will discuss them including at the Commission, but all together they will help a lot," said Nazare.
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